Cumulative Fertility in Iran

Document Type

Article

Publication Date

12-1-1996

Abstract

Utilizing data from surveys and censuses, this paper examines the trends and differential in cumulative fertility in Iran. The analysis of data suggests persistency of a high level of cumulative fertility, particularly for women in rural areas. However, multivariate analysis of the determinants of fertility reveals strong influences from size of the place of residence, women's education, age of first marriage, and husband's education on cumulative fertility. Findings from this study suggest some prospect for fertility decline in Iran in near future. Both Female education and age of first marriage have been increasing during the recent years, infant mortality has declined and a grass-root family planning program has been established and is growing. The combination of these factors should result in lower cumulative fertility in near future.

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